in some ways i am too. in others im excited. it's a mixed bag. i don't see it as the new crypto or the new nft, for reasons i'll go into in a piece coming soon, but a lot of people who aren't part of the research community are vying for their slice of the pie.
still, i think certain fields (computational biology, medical imaging) make me hopeful
You're thoroughly right but I feel this seems eerily similar to the AI boom and winter of the late 1900s. Do you think we're heading for a saturation point?
i think this moment is different. a lot of the disillusionment that led to the ai winters of the late 20th century was really due to lack of data at scale and lack of computational power. a lot of the ideas (like neural networks) pitched back then were theoretically sound but technically infeasible for the time.
this moment doesn't represent hype around brand new ideas -- it's the payoff of old ideas finally reaching scale and maturity, plus some specific innovations (transformers, attention).
I totally agree, and admit that I hadn't thought about it this way.
But I do feel that with regards the end goal of AGIs there's still going to be a long way to go, although, I have seen a paper which states that LLMs have shown signs of understanding rather than probablistically generating words, but I haven't read it so I can't say.
Personally with regards this, I feel globalisation rather than innovation is happening now and it's got to saturate at some point right?
The photo captions and footnotes are killing me, please never stop.
hahaha thank u i take a secret joy in writing the captions
Really dissappointed at how this wave is being ridden. Dissappointed and sad
in some ways i am too. in others im excited. it's a mixed bag. i don't see it as the new crypto or the new nft, for reasons i'll go into in a piece coming soon, but a lot of people who aren't part of the research community are vying for their slice of the pie.
still, i think certain fields (computational biology, medical imaging) make me hopeful
You're thoroughly right but I feel this seems eerily similar to the AI boom and winter of the late 1900s. Do you think we're heading for a saturation point?
i think this moment is different. a lot of the disillusionment that led to the ai winters of the late 20th century was really due to lack of data at scale and lack of computational power. a lot of the ideas (like neural networks) pitched back then were theoretically sound but technically infeasible for the time.
this moment doesn't represent hype around brand new ideas -- it's the payoff of old ideas finally reaching scale and maturity, plus some specific innovations (transformers, attention).
I totally agree, and admit that I hadn't thought about it this way.
But I do feel that with regards the end goal of AGIs there's still going to be a long way to go, although, I have seen a paper which states that LLMs have shown signs of understanding rather than probablistically generating words, but I haven't read it so I can't say.
Personally with regards this, I feel globalisation rather than innovation is happening now and it's got to saturate at some point right?